|
3.
Patterns Studying the patterns is very
important in order to apply the Elliott Wave Principle correctly. The pattern
of the market action, if correctly determined, not only tells you to what price
levels the market will rise or decline, but also in which way (or pattern) this
will happen. When you are able to recognize
the patterns, and apply these patterns correctly, you can trade the Elliott Wave
Principle. This is not easy to accomplish, but after some study and with the help
of our "detailed and personalized daily chart service" tool you will
find it easier. Humans, with sufficient experience, can analyse markets in an
instance, which is a requirement for trading. Our
daily chart service restricts itself mainly to the patterns mentioned in the Classic
Elliott Wave patterns. We analysis these patterns using the Classic Rules. We
also use the Modern Rules, as mentioned under Modern Elliott Wave patterns, we
have defined more patterns, which we have found after more than 10 years of research
and experience, which definitions are more profitable in our view. This way we
make available our knowledge and experience without any extra costs. After
looking at the big picture we then determine which rules are preferable. Explaining
the following descriptions, on the left you will find a picture of a bull market,
at the right one of a bear market. The pattern
section depicts the structure, while the description gives additional information.
The pattern should follow the rules and guidelines, which can also be derived
from the picture. Furthermore the section, in which wave explains in which wave,
as a part of a larger wave degree, the patterns normally occur. Last but not least
the pattern must have an internal structure as described. This is very important
to determine which pattern you are dealing with. Classic
Elliott Wave patterns Below we have depicted
all Elliott Wave patterns that are allowed under a very strict interpretation
of the Elliott Wave Principle. Elliott detected most of these patterns, except
for the Diagonal 2 pattern. The WXY and WXYXZ pattern have not been defined as
such by Elliott, but he already had discovered these sort of combinations. In
our daily analysis we use the WXY and WXYXZ also for Double and Triple Zigzags.
This is a much more consistent way of labeling these patterns, since now the ABC
waves in waves W and Y are sub waves and an unfitting Wave X has been eliminated. Because
of this, in our daily analysis we no longer have to search for more than five
waves. Using the old definition of for example a Triple Zigzag, the search was
for eleven waves, apart from inconsistencies this would have slowed down our analysis
considerably. I.
Trends a. Impulse Pattern | | | |
|
top Description Impulses
are always composed of five waves, labeled 1,2,3,4,5. Waves 1, 3 and 5 are themselves
each impulsive patterns and are approximately equal in length. Waves 2 and 4 on
the contrary are always corrective patterns. Rules
and guidelines The most important rules
and guidelines are: - Wave 2 cannot be longer
in price than wave 1, and it must not go beyond the origin of wave 1.
- Wave
3 is never the shortest when compared to waves 1 and 5.
- Wave
4 cannot overlap wave 1, except in diagonal triangles and sometimes in wave 1
or A waves, but never in a third wave. In most cases there should not be an overlap
between wave 1 and A.
- As a guideline the
third wave shows the greatest momentum, except when the fifth is the extended
wave.
- Wave 5 must exceed the end of wave
3.
- As a guideline the internal wave structure
should show alternation, which means different kind of corrective structures in
wave 2 and 4.
In which wave Impulse
patterns occur in waves 1, 3, 5 and in waves A and C of a correction( this correction
could be a wave 2, 4 or a wave B, D, E or wave X). Internal
structure It is composed of five waves.
The internal structure of these waves is 5-3-5-3-5. Note that the mentioned 3s
are corrective waves, which should be composed of 5 waves in a corrective triangle. b.
Extension Pattern | | | | | top DescriptionBy
definition an extension occurs in an impulsive wave, where waves 1, 3 or 5 can
be extended, being much longer than the other waves. It is quite common that one
of these waves will extend, which is normally the third wave. The two other waves
then tend to equal each other. In our pattern
definitions we call it an Extension1 if the first wave extends, an Extension3
if the 3rd wave extends and an Extension5 if the 5th wave extends. Rules
and guidelines The most important rules
and guidelines concerning an extended wave are: - It
is composed of 5, 9, 13 or 17 waves.
- Wave
2 cannot be longer in price length than wave 1, so it should not go beyond the
origin of wave 1.
- Wave 3 is never the shortest
when compared to waves 1 and 5.
- Wave 4 cannot
overlap wave 1.
- Wave 5 exceeds the end of
wave 3.
- The extended wave normally shows
the highest acceleration.
In which
wave Extensions occur in waves 1, 3, 5,
and in A and C waves, when compared to each other. Internal
structure As a minimum it is composed of
9 waves, though 13 or 17 waves could occur. So the minimal internal structure
of the 9 waves is 5-3-5-3-5-3-5-3-5. Note that the 3s mentioned are corrective
waves, which could be composed of 5 waves in the case of a corrective triangle. c.
Diagonal triangle type 1 Pattern | | | | | top DescriptionDiagonals
are sort of impulsive patterns, which normally occur in terminal waves like a
fifth or a C wave. Don¡¦t confuse them with corrective triangles. Diagonals
are relatively rare phenomena for large wave degrees, but they do occur often
in lower wave degrees on intra-day charts. Usually Diagonal triangles are followed
by a violent change in market direction. Rules
and guidelines The most important rules
and guidelines are: - It is composed of 5
waves.
- Waves 4 and 1 do overlap.
- Wave
4 can¡¦t go beyond the origin of wave 3.
- Wave
3) cannot be the shortest wave.
- Internally
all waves of the diagonal have a corrective wave structure.
- Wave
1 is the longest wave and wave 5 the shortest.
- The
channel lines of Diagonals must converge.
- As
a guideline the internal wave structure should show alternation, which means different
kind of corrective structures.
In
which wave Diagonal triangles type 1 occur
in waves 5, C and sometimes in wave 1. Internal
structure The internal structure of the
five waves is 3-3-3-3-3. c. Diagonal triangle
type 2 Pattern | | | | | top DescriptionDiagonal
type 2 is a sort of impulsive pattern, which normally occurs in the first or A
wave. The main difference with the Diagonal Triangle type 1 is the fact that waves
1, 3 and 5 have an internal structure of five waves instead of three. Experience
shows it can also occur in a wave 5 or C, though the Elliott Wave Principle does
not allow this. Don¡¦t confuse this with corrective triangles. Diagonals
are relatively rare phenomena for large wave degrees, but they do occur often
in lower wave degrees in intra day charts. These Diagonal triangles are not followed
by a violent change in market direction, because it is not the end of a trend,
except when it occurs in a fifth or a C wave. Rules
and guidelines The most important rules
and guidelines are: - It is composed of 5
waves.
- Wave 4 and 1 do overlap.
- Wave
4 can¡¦t go beyond the origin of wave 3.
- Wave
3) cannot be the shortest wave.
- Internally
waves 1, 3 and 5 have an impulsive wave structure.
- Wave
1 is the longest wave and wave 5 the shortest.
- As
a guideline the internal wave structure should show alternation, which means that
wave 2 and 4 show a different kind of corrective structure.
In
which wave Diagonal triangles type 2 occur
in waves 1 and A. Internal structure The
five waves of the diagonal type 2 show an internal structure of 5-3-5-3-5. d.
Failure or Truncated 5th Pattern | | | | | top DescriptionA
failure is an impulsive pattern in which the fifth wave does not exceed the third
wave. Fifth waves, which travel only slightly beyond the top of wave 3, can also
be classified as a kind of failure. It indicates that the trend is weak and that
the market will show acceleration in the opposite direction. Rules
and guidelines The most important rules
and guidelines are: - Wave 2 cannot be longer
in price distance than wave 1, so it should not go beyond the origin of wave 1.
- Wave 3 is never the shortest when compared
to waves 1 and 5.
- Wave 4 cannot overlap wave
1, except for diagonal triangles and sometimes in waves 1 or A, but never in a
third wave. There should not be overlap between wave 1 and A.
- Wave
5 fails to go beyond the end of wave 3.
- As
a guideline the third wave shows the greatest momentum.
- As
a guideline the internal wave structure should show alternation, which means different
kinds of corrective structures.
In
which wave A failure can only occur in a
fifth wave or a C wave, but normally not in the fifth wave of wave 3. Internal
structure It must be composed of five waves.
II.
Corrections a. Zigzag Pattern | | | | | top DescriptionA
Zigzag is the most common corrective structure, which starts a sharp reversal.
Often it looks like an impulsive wave, because of the acceleration it shows. A
zigzag can extend itself into a double or triple zigzag, although this is not
very common, because it lacks alternation (the same two patterns follow each other).
Notice that the zigzag can only be the first part of a corrective structure. Rules
and guidelines - It is composed of 3
waves.
- Waves A and C are impulses, wave B
is corrective.
- The B wave retraces no more
then 61.8% of A.
- The C wave must go beyond
the end of A.
- The C wave normally is at least
equal to A.
In which wave Most
of the time it happens in A, X or 2. Also quite common in B waves as a part of
a Flat, (part of) Triangles and sometimes in 4. Internal
structure A single Zigzag is composed of
3 waves, a double of 7 waves separated by an X wave in the middle, a triple of
11 waves separated by two X waves (see pictures below). The internal structure
of the 3 waves is 5-3-5 in a single Zigzag, 5-3-5-3-5-3-5 in a double. Example
of a Double Zigzag | | | | | As
you have noticed we have a more modern representation of the Double Zigzag using
the labels WXY instead of ABCXABC. This is more consistent, since this way 2 zigzags
of lower degree get connected to each other by waves of higher degree. On top
if that, our automatic analysis needed such a consistent method of labeling to
reach maximum performance. Instead of labeling 7 waves (ABCXABC), in our daily
analysis we need to label only 3 waves (WXY). According to the same method a Triple
Zigzag is represented by WXYXZ instead of ABCXABCXABC. This way the number of
waves was reduced to five instead of eleven. b.
Flat Pattern | | | | | top DescriptionFlats
are very common forms of corrective patterns, which generally show a sideways
direction. Waves A and B of the Flat are both corrective patterns. Wave C on the
contrary is an impulsive pattern. Normally wave C will not go beyond the end of
wave A. Rules and guidelines It
is composed of 3 waves. Wave C is an impulse, wave A and B are corrective.
Wave B retraces more then 61.8% of A. Wave B often shows a complete retracement
to the end of the previous impulse wave. Wave C shouldn¡¦t go
beyond the end of A. Normally wave C is at least equal to A. In which
wave It occurs mostly in B waves, though also
quite common in 4 and 2. Internal structure As
mentioned before a Flat consists of 3 waves. The internal structure of these waves
is 3-3-5. Both waves A and B normally are Zigzags. c.
Expanded Flat or Irregular Flat Pattern | | | | | top DescriptionThis
is a common special type of Flat. Here the B wave is extended and goes beyond
the (orthodox) end of the previous impulsive wave. The strength of the B wave
shows that the market wants to go in the direction of B. Often a strong acceleration
will take place, which starts a third wave or an extended fifth. If the C wave
is much longer then A, the strength will be less. Rules
and guidelines - It is composed of 3
waves.
- Wave C is an impulse, waves A and
B are corrective.
- Wave B retraces beyond
the end of the previous impulse, which is the start of wave A. The C wave normally
is much longer then A.
In which wave This
corrective pattern can happen in 2, 4, B and X. If it happens in 2 and C is relatively
short, normally an acceleration in the third will take place. Internal
structure It is composed of five waves,
which have an internal structure of 3-3-5. c.
Triangles Contracting Triangle: Pattern | | | | | top DescriptionA
triangle is a corrective pattern, which can contract or expand. Furthermore it
can ascend or descend. It is composed of five waves, each of them has a corrective
nature. Rules and guidelines - It
is composed of 5 waves.
- Wave 4 and 1 do overlap.
- Wave 4 can¡¦t go beyond the
origin of wave 3.
- Wave 3 cannot be the shortest
wave.
- Internally all waves of the diagonal
have a corrective wave structure.
- In a contracting
Triangle, wave 1 is the longest wave and wave 5 the shortest. In an expanding
Triangle, wave 1 is the shortest and wave 5 the longest.
- Triangles
normally have a wedged shape, which follows from the previous.
- As
a guideline the internal wave structure should show alternation.
In
which wave Triangles occur only in waves
B, X and 4. Never in wave 2 or A. Internal
structure It is composed of five waves,
of which the internal structure is 3-3-3-3-3. Expanding
Triangle: | | | | | Ascending
Triangle: This is a triangle, which slopes upwards.
This pattern has been implemented in the Modern Rules. Descending
Triangle: This is a triangle, which slopes
downwards. This pattern has been implemented in the Modern Rules.
Running Triangle: This
is a triangle where the B wave exceeds the origin of wave A. d.
WXY or Combination Many kinds of combinations
are possible. Below a rather complex example has been depicted. Pattern
| | | | | top DescriptionA
Combination combines several types of corrections. These corrections are labeled
as WXY and WXYXZ if it is even more complex. It starts for example with a Zigzag
(wave W), then an intermediate X wave, then a Flat (wave Y) and so on. A so-called
double or triple three is also a Combination, but this pattern combines Flats
separated by X waves. Rules and guidelines - All
types of corrective patterns can combine to form a bigger corrective pattern.
- The rules and guidelines, as mentioned for
other corrective patterns apply.
- A triangle
in a Combination should normally occur at the end.
- Corrective
patterns in a Combination normally show alternation.
In
which wave Generally a Combination occurs
mostly in B, X and 4, it is less common in A and rare in 2. Internal
structure For example a Zigzag, followed
by a Flat, followed by a Triangle has the following internal structure: 5-3-5(Zigzag)-5-3-5(X)-3-3-5(Flat)-3-3-3-3-3(Triangle).
e. Running Flat Pattern | | | | | top DescriptionThe
Running correction is a rare special form of a failure. This pattern is a kind
of Flat, with an elongated B wave and a very small C wave. According to theory
wave C should be so short that it doesn¡¦t get to the price territory
of wave A. In our daily analysis we do not accept a C wave that fails to reach
the price territory of wave A. Instead of a
running correction this could in theory be an extension in an impulsive wave,
where the wave has subdivided in two (or more) 1,2 combinations. If the B is a
clear three wave, then it is a Running correction, otherwise an extension. In
practice there will not be any difference in market direction: in both scenarios
the market will explode in the direction of the B wave, therefore we prefer to
label it as an extension. For the sake of correctness we do included this pattern
in our daily analysis. Rules and guidelines - The
B wave must be composed of three waves.
- The
C wave must be composed of five waves.
- Wave
C must be very short and normally will not reach the price territory of A.
- Wave
C must not retrace more than 100% of wave B but more than 60% of wave A.
In
which wave Most of the time it should occur
in wave 2 or B. Internal structure It
is a three-wave structure. The internal structure is 3-3-5. X
wave Description An
X wave is an intermediate wave in a more complex correction. This wave is always
corrective and can take many forms like a Zigzag, Double Zigzag, Flat, Expanded
Flat, combination and a triangle. Modern
Elliott Wave patterns In our Modern Rules
observations and analysis we have defined extra patterns that are mostly hybrid
patterns derived from the known patterns that have existed from the beginning.
In addition, we allow for the occurrence of more patterns in some waves. For example,
wave 1 may also contain a diagonal1, diagonal2 and impulse 2 pattern, in addition
to the other trend patterns, that a classic interpretation accepts. I.
Trends a. Impulse 2 Pattern | | | | | top DescriptionAn
Impulse 2 is an uncommon pattern that resembles a normal impulse considerably.
In our daily analysis we allow for a maximum retracement of 51.5% for wave 4 in
an impulse or other trend pattern. Of course sometimes the retracement of wave
4 could be 51.6% and an impulse would then be eliminated, in spite of the fact
that the limit was exceeded by 0.1% only. Naturally the Elliott Wave does not
apply this strictly and the Impulse 2 pattern corrects for this problem. Apart
from this, we have witnessed a retracement up to 62% for a wave 4 frequently in
intra day charts. Rules and guidelines The
same rules and guidelines apply as with a normal impulse except for the following: - Wave
4 is allowed to retrace between 51.5% and 62%, without penetrating the region
of wave 1.
- As a guideline, wave 4 very often
is a Zigzag.
In which wave Impulse
2 patterns mostly occur in waves 1,A or C, never in a wave 3! Internal
structure It is composed of five waves.
The internal structure of these waves is 5-3-5-3-5. Note that the mentioned 3s
are corrective waves, which could be composed of 5 waves in a corrective triangle.
II.
Corrections a. ZigzagFlat Pattern | | | | | top DescriptionIt
is a common pattern that is exactly the same as a Zigzag, except for the fact
that the B wave is allowed to retrace more than 61.8% of wave A. b.
Running Zigzag Pattern | | | | | top DescriptionApart
from contracting Triangles, a failure in a corrective pattern happens when the
C wave is shorter than wave A and fails to go beyond the end of A. This mostly
happens in Running Flats and or in Zigzags. It indicates strength in the direction
of the main trend. Rules and guidelines - The
rules as mentioned with other corrective patterns apply.
- Wave
C fails to go beyond the end of wave A.
In
which wave Failures can occur in a C wave
of wave 2, in a C or E wave of wave 4, in a C wave of wave B or X. c.
Failed Flat Pattern | | | | | top DescriptionThis
pattern is exactly the same as a Flat, except for the fact that wave C does not
reach the end of wave A and therefore is shorter than wave B. d.
Running Flat (modern) Pattern | | | | | top DescriptionThis
pattern is exactly the same as a Running Flat, except for the fact that it must
retrace more than 60%, if not we consider it to be a normal Running Flat. This
distinction is necessary, because normally a Running Flat is rare. But if it retraces
more than 60% and still fails to reach the end of wave A, it suddenly becomes
much more probable the pattern will occur. In which case it will get a much higher
score. e. Ascending and descending Triangles Description These
are mentioned under the Triangles description in the Classic patterns section.
Basically these patterns are the same as common contracting triangles, except
for the fact that ascending and descending triangles slope up or down. | |
| | |
| | |
|